What to expect from Indian stock market in trade on September 25 after drop in global markets

By Admin

25 Sep, 2025

New Delhi:
The Indian stock market is expected to remain under pressure today, September 25, tracking weakness across global equities. Both Sensex and Nifty 50 are likely to extend losses for the fifth consecutive session as bearish sentiments dominate.

The trends on Gift Nifty also point toward a weak start for the day. Gift Nifty was trading around 25,071, nearly 40 points lower than the Nifty futures’ previous close, suggesting a negative opening for benchmark indices.

On Wednesday, the markets witnessed another round of selling. The Sensex fell 386.47 points, or 0.47%, to close at 81,715.63, while the Nifty 50 settled 112.60 points, or 0.45%, lower at 25,056.90 slipping below the 25,100 mark for the first time in four sessions.

Sensex Prediction

Sensex has been forming a lower top pattern on intraday charts, with a bearish candle seen on daily charts. This indicates that the market texture remains weak and volatile.

• According to Shrikant Chouhan, Head of Equity Research at Kotak Securities, a fresh selloff is possible if Sensex breaches the 81,500 level, which may drag the index to 81,200–81,000.
  
  

• On the upside, a pullback above 82,000 could extend toward 82,300–82,500.
  
  

• Mayank Jain of Share.Market also highlighted that resistance lies at 82,000–82,100, while support is placed at 81,200–81,000. Breaching this zone could push the index further down to 80,500.
  
  

Nifty OI Data

Derivatives positioning reflects caution as call writers dominate over put writers.

• Fresh Nifty open interest (OI) addition of 1.12 crore contracts at the 25,500 strike has created a strong resistance ceiling.
  
  

• Meanwhile, Put OI of 1.14 crore contracts at 25,000 indicates immediate support.
  
  

• The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) eased to 0.78 from 0.86, showing bearish sentiment with sellers maintaining the upper hand.
  
  

Nifty 50 Prediction

Nifty 50 has formed a bearish candle with a lower high and lower low on daily charts, signaling continued profit booking.

• According to Nagaraj Shetti of HDFC Securities, Nifty may slide further toward 24,900, which is a crucial weekly support. Resistance is seen at 25,150.
  
  

• Nilesh Jain of Centrum Broking noted that a move below 25,050 could drag the index toward 24,920, aligning with key moving averages and Fibonacci retracement. However, holding above 24,900 keeps the broader structure intact.
  
  

• On the upside, crossing 25,150–25,250 could trigger a short-covering rally toward 25,300–25,350.
  
  

• Strong support is placed at 25,000–24,950, and if this breaks, the next level to watch is 24,800.
  
  

Bank Nifty Prediction

Bank Nifty also came under pressure, slipping 388.25 points, or 0.70%, to close at 55,121.50. It formed a bearish candle, showing fading momentum.

• Om Mehra of SAMCO Securities noted that Bank Nifty has closed below 55,270 and may test support near 54,700 if selling continues. Resistance is placed at 55,500.
  
  

• Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities suggested that 55,100–55,000 is immediate support, with a breakdown possibly extending losses to 54,500. Resistance remains at 55,500–55,600.
  
  

• Hrishikesh Yedve of Asit C. Mehta added that immediate support lies at 54,800–54,500, while resistance is seen at 56,000–56,160. He recommends a buy-near-support and sell-near-resistance approach in the short term.
  
  

Market Outlook

With global cues weighing on sentiment, volatility is expected to dominate Indian equity markets today. Traders may prefer level-based strategies while investors should watch for key support zones around 24,900 on Nifty and 81,000 on Sensex for possible trend reversals.

Disclaimer: The views and predictions mentioned are based on analysts’ opinions. Investors are advised to consult certified financial advisors before making investment decisions.